USGS photo by D. Downs.

Hawaiʻi’s Mantle Plume Is Getting Hotter, Researchers Say

Big Island Video News

Jul 20, 2026

STORY SUMMARY

HAWAIʻI - Over millions of years, the Hawaiian mantle plume has been getting hotter, University of Hawai‘i scientists say.

(BIVN) – The Hawaiian mantle plume has gotten hotter over a long period of time, researchers say. 

New research by Earth scientists at the University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa shows the mantle plume has heated up by about 250°C (480°F) over the past 47 million years. The study was published in Earth and Planetary Science Letters, and “reverses the long-held idea that hotspots start out very hot and progressively cool with time,” the University says.

A University news release added that the researchers also found that heat surges produced the two largest volcanoes along the Northwestern and Main Hawaiian Island chain. 

From the UH news release detailing the findings:

The Hawaiian Ridge consists of 65 volcanoes spread over 3,500 km (2,179 miles) that were formed during the past 47 million years as the Pacific plate slowly moved over the Hawaiian hotspot, where a plume of molten material flows out of Earth’s crust. A team of researchers, led by Michael Garcia, Emeritus Professor of Earth Sciences in the UH Mānoa School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, set out to evaluate hypotheses that might explain the 100-fold fluctuation in lava volume along this ridge. By examining olivine basalts from 16 volcanoes, the researchers assessed four testable causes, including changes in lithosphere thickness, magma source composition, rate of the Pacific plate movement and plume temperature.

“It was a major surprise to find such a strong, direct correlation between mantle temperatures and volcano size,” said Garcia. “Other potential explanations simply failed to explain the data.”

Cutting-edge ‘geothermometer’

To uncover this connection, the team developed a cutting-edge “geothermometer” to estimate the temperature of the lava when it first formed deep within the Earth’s mantle. They paired these temperatures with recent, comprehensive ocean floor surveys to calculate more accurate estimates of volcano size along the Hawaiian Ridge.

Bathymetric map of Pūhāhonu volcano. Credit: Garcia et al., 2026.

The results show an overall increase in lava temperature with two heat surges: One at 14–20 million years ago (making the largest and longest lived shield volcano in the last 60 million years, Pūhāhonu) and the other making the Hawaiian Islands (0–6 million years ago). 

“The development of the new geothermometer allows one to better understand the history of volcanoes and why some are larger than other volcanoes,” Garcia added. 

The researchers suggest that the overall increase in the Hawaiian mantle plume temperature is possibly related to drifting of dense, hot material in the lowermost mantle. 

About The Featured Image

The episode 51 lava fountain as seen from Uēkahuna in Hawaiʻi Volcanoes National Park. The lava fountain at this time was approximately 500 feet (150 meters) tall and feeding a lava flows across the crater floor. The U.S. Geological Survey Hawaiian Volcano Observatory monitoring stations, including the V1 livestreaming camera, as well as the KW camera and F1 thermal camera can be seen in the foreground along the caldera rim. USGS photo by D. Downs.


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